Real Murcia Imperial vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
58%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ALC
1 - 1
IMP
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
IMP
1 - 2
AGU
45%
27%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 2
IMP
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
IMP
1 - 0
ULP
32%
29%
39%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ALF
0 - 3
IMP
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
RMC
2 - 0
ALF
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
RMC
2 - 0
VEC
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 2
RMC
20%
26%
55%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
RMC
2 - 0
PPJ
77%
15%
7%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
NAV
4 - 1
RMC
18%
25%
57%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | -1 |