Real Madriz vs UNAN Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 0
REA
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
REA
1 - 1
JAP
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
REA
1 - 2
EST
23%
26%
51%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
REA
3 - 1
WAL
24%
26%
50%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
REA
3 - 3
CDS
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
UNAN Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
JAP
2 - 2
UNA
46%
27%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CDS
1 - 1
UNA
57%
22%
22%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
UNA
0 - 5
DIR
18%
25%
57%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
UNA
1 - 1
JUV
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
DEP
1 - 2
UNA
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |