Real Madrid vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.3%
Win probability
3.51
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.6%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.4%
3.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
RMA
5 - 2
APO
95%
4%
1%
|
98 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
OSA
1 - 5
RMA
7%
18%
75%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
APO
0 - 3
RMA
7%
16%
77%
|
97 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
RMA
5 - 1
RSO
94%
5%
1%
|
97 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
RMA
9%
18%
74%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
VCF
4 - 0
AZA
66%
19%
15%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VCF
1 - 1
LEV
75%
16%
10%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
AZA
2 - 1
VCF
35%
27%
39%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
GET
3 - 1
VCF
28%
27%
45%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
VCF
1 - 2
ZAR
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |