Copa del Rey . Last 16
Global 4-3
Real Madrid vs Las Palmas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1970 |
UDL
2 - 0
RMA
42%
24%
34%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1970 |
RMA
3 - 0
CAS
89%
8%
3%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1970 |
CAS
2 - 2
RMA
21%
24%
55%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
RMA
2 - 2
ZAR
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
GRA
0 - 0
RMA
18%
27%
56%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Las Palmas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1970 |
UDL
2 - 0
RMA
42%
24%
34%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1970 |
UDL
2 - 0
MAL
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1970 |
MAL
1 - 0
UDL
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
UDL
3 - 0
SEV
54%
24%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
FCB
0 - 0
UDL
77%
15%
8%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |