LaLiga Round 15

Real Madrid vs Real Zaragoza analysis

Real Madrid Real Zaragoza
92 ELO 85
32.1% Tilt 14.5%
General ELO ranking 619º
Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
80.1%
Real Madrid
12.8%
Draw
7%
Real Zaragoza

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.1%
Win probability
Real Madrid
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
7%
Win probability
Real Zaragoza
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Madrid
-5%
-8%
Real Zaragoza

ELO progression

Real Madrid
Real Zaragoza
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Dec. 2009
VCF
Valencia
2 - 3
Real Madrid
RMA
46%
24%
30%
92 91 1 0
08 Dec. 2009
MAR
Olympique Marseille
1 - 3
Real Madrid
RMA
24%
22%
54%
92 88 4 0
05 Dec. 2009
RMA
Real Madrid
4 - 2
Almería
ALM
81%
12%
6%
92 83 9 0
29 Nov. 2009
FCB
Barcelona
1 - 0
Real Madrid
RMA
66%
19%
16%
92 95 3 0
25 Nov. 2009
RMA
Real Madrid
1 - 0
Zurich
ZUR
79%
13%
8%
92 83 9 0

Matches

Real Zaragoza
Real Zaragoza
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Dec. 2009
ZAR
Real Zaragoza
1 - 2
Athletic
ATH
51%
24%
25%
85 86 1 0
06 Dec. 2009
MLL
Mallorca
4 - 1
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
60%
22%
18%
86 89 3 -1
29 Nov. 2009
ZAR
Real Zaragoza
0 - 1
Osasuna
OSA
57%
24%
20%
86 86 0 0
22 Nov. 2009
MAL
Málaga
1 - 1
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
40%
26%
34%
86 83 3 0
10 Nov. 2009
MAL
Málaga
0 - 0
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
42%
26%
32%
86 83 3 0