Real Madrid vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
MAL
1 - 0
RMA
37%
30%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1974 |
ZAR
2 - 1
RMA
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
RMA
0 - 5
FCB
51%
26%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1974 |
RMA
1 - 0
ATH
62%
23%
15%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
MUR
0 - 1
RMA
34%
29%
37%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
OVI
0 - 2
RSO
45%
30%
26%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1974 |
OVI
1 - 1
CEL
46%
30%
25%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
ESP
2 - 0
OVI
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1974 |
RAC
2 - 0
OVI
46%
29%
26%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1974 |
MAL
0 - 0
OVI
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |