Champions League . 1/16
Global 12-0
Real Madrid vs Progrès Niederkorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.4%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.1%
3-0
12%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
8%
3.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
SLA
1 - 1
RMA
24%
27%
49%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
RMA
2 - 1
VCF
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1978 |
UDL
1 - 2
RMA
41%
25%
34%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
RMA
3 - 0
HER
78%
14%
7%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
RAC
1 - 0
RMA
29%
26%
45%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Progrès Niederkorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
VEJ
9 - 0
PRO
61%
19%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
PRO
0 - 1
VEJ
58%
20%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1943 |
PRO
0 - 3
SKF
58%
20%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |