Copa del Rey . Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Real Madrid vs Mérida CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
3.4%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
DEP
5 - 2
RMA
37%
25%
38%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2000 |
RMA
2 - 0
ZAR
71%
18%
12%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
RMA
3 - 1
ATH
72%
17%
12%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
NUM
0 - 0
RMA
20%
23%
57%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2000 |
ZAR
0 - 0
RMA
41%
24%
35%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
CCF
3 - 0
MER
38%
29%
33%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
OVI
0 - 0
MER
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
MER
0 - 1
COM
42%
26%
33%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
OSA
0 - 0
MER
45%
29%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2000 |
MER
1 - 0
OVI
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |