Copa del Rey . Last 16
Global 6-2
Real Madrid vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
3.7%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
HER
0 - 1
RMA
24%
27%
49%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1982 |
MAL
1 - 1
RMA
23%
27%
51%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
RMA
2 - 1
SEV
81%
13%
7%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1982 |
ATM
2 - 3
RMA
34%
28%
38%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1982 |
RMA
1 - 1
RSO
69%
19%
13%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
RMC
2 - 2
MAL
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1982 |
MAL
1 - 1
RMA
23%
27%
51%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
MAL
2 - 2
GDE
70%
20%
10%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1982 |
MAL
1 - 0
MLL
68%
20%
11%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
REC
0 - 1
MAL
37%
29%
35%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |