Real Madrid vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
4.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
SEV
2 - 1
RMA
19%
25%
56%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1965 |
KIL
2 - 2
RMA
27%
25%
48%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1965 |
RMA
2 - 1
ELC
83%
12%
6%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
ZAR
2 - 3
RMA
44%
23%
32%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
RMA
0 - 0
ESP
88%
8%
4%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
MAL
2 - 0
ATH
28%
25%
47%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
MAL
1 - 0
UDL
50%
26%
25%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
SEV
0 - 1
MAL
72%
18%
11%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
MAL
0 - 1
ELC
32%
26%
43%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
ZAR
1 - 1
MAL
91%
7%
3%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | +1 |