Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Real Madrid vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
8.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
CEL
2 - 0
RMA
31%
28%
41%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1971 |
RMA
2 - 1
ZAR
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1971 |
CAR
1 - 0
RMA
44%
25%
31%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1971 |
ATH
0 - 1
RMA
44%
27%
29%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
RMA
1 - 0
ATM
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1971 |
CAR
1 - 0
QPR
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1971 |
BBU
1 - 1
CAR
29%
30%
41%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1971 |
CAR
1 - 0
RMA
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1971 |
CAR
4 - 0
CUM
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1971 |
HUL
1 - 1
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |