Real Madrid vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
26%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
RMA
1 - 1
VCF
80%
14%
7%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
RMA
25%
23%
52%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
CPC
0 - 1
RMA
2%
10%
88%
|
94 | 48 | 46 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
VAD
0 - 2
RMA
8%
17%
75%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
RMA
0 - 0
GET
86%
11%
4%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
BET
2 - 2
FCB
23%
22%
55%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ATM
0 - 1
FCB
26%
24%
50%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
INT
3 - 4
FCB
3%
12%
85%
|
92 | 53 | 39 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
FCB
1 - 1
ESP
81%
13%
6%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
OSA
1 - 2
FCB
14%
20%
66%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |