Real Madrid vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
19.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
LIV
0 - 3
RMA
14%
18%
68%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LEV
0 - 5
RMA
6%
13%
81%
|
97 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
RMA
5 - 0
ATH
89%
8%
3%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
LUD
1 - 2
RMA
5%
11%
84%
|
97 | 77 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 2
RMA
10%
16%
74%
|
97 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
FCB
3 - 1
AJA
87%
9%
4%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FCB
3 - 0
EIB
93%
6%
1%
|
96 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
RAY
0 - 2
FCB
12%
19%
70%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
PSG
3 - 2
FCB
21%
22%
57%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
FCB
6 - 0
GRA
91%
7%
2%
|
96 | 81 | 15 | 0 |