Real Madrid vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
32.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1995 |
RMA
2 - 0
GCZ
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
BET
0 - 0
RMA
34%
25%
41%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
RMA
2 - 3
OVI
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1995 |
AJA
1 - 0
RMA
57%
22%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
RMA
1 - 2
ATH
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1995 |
FCB
5 - 0
HBS
92%
6%
2%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
FCB
2 - 0
RAY
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
ZAR
0 - 3
FCB
34%
24%
42%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1995 |
HBS
0 - 7
FCB
16%
21%
63%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
FCB
2 - 2
MER
82%
13%
6%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |