Real Madrid vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
RMA
2 - 2
ARS
67%
18%
15%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
BYM
3 - 1
RMA
55%
22%
23%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
RMA
0 - 2
BET
81%
13%
7%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
RSO
3 - 1
RMA
19%
21%
61%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
RMA
3 - 2
VIL
82%
13%
6%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 0
ATM
15%
26%
59%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
NUM
0 - 3
ATM
14%
25%
62%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2019 |
BEI
2 - 1
ATM
20%
26%
54%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
LEV
2 - 2
ATM
28%
26%
46%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ATM
1 - 1
SEV
53%
25%
23%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | -1 |