Copa del Rey . Quarter-finals
Global 1-0
Real Madrid vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
RMA
3 - 0
ZAR
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1982 |
RMA
5 - 1
MAL
86%
11%
4%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
HER
0 - 1
RMA
24%
27%
49%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1982 |
MAL
1 - 1
RMA
23%
27%
51%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
RMA
2 - 1
SEV
81%
13%
7%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1982 |
UDL
1 - 2
ATM
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1982 |
FCB
0 - 0
ATM
76%
15%
8%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
ATM
1 - 0
CAD
67%
20%
12%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1982 |
ATM
1 - 0
FCB
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
BET
3 - 1
ATM
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |