Real Madrid vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
PON
1 - 3
RMA
14%
26%
60%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
RMA
2 - 2
DEP
83%
12%
5%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1969 |
RMA
6 - 1
OLY
84%
11%
5%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1969 |
UDL
2 - 4
RMA
32%
27%
41%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1969 |
OLY
0 - 8
RMA
26%
25%
50%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
ATH
2 - 0
ELC
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
FCB
3 - 2
ATH
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
MAC
3 - 0
ATH
68%
19%
14%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1969 |
ATH
2 - 0
ZAR
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
GRA
0 - 0
ATH
34%
28%
37%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |