Real Madrid vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ALA
0 - 1
RMA
7%
16%
77%
|
100 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2025 |
ARS
3 - 0
RMA
20%
21%
59%
|
100 | 97 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
RMA
1 - 2
VCF
83%
12%
5%
|
100 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
RMA
4 - 4
RSO
82%
12%
6%
|
100 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
RMA
3 - 2
LEG
86%
11%
3%
|
100 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ARS
1 - 1
BRE
72%
18%
10%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2025 |
ARS
3 - 0
RMA
20%
21%
59%
|
97 | 100 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
EVE
1 - 1
ARS
15%
22%
63%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
ARS
2 - 1
FUL
70%
18%
11%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
ARS
1 - 0
CHL
59%
22%
19%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | +1 |