Real Madrid vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
12%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
RMA
0 - 1
FCB
45%
23%
33%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
RMA
0 - 3
FCB
50%
22%
28%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
LEV
1 - 2
RMA
11%
17%
73%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
RMA
1 - 2
GIR
89%
9%
3%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
AJA
1 - 2
RMA
23%
22%
56%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
FEY
0 - 3
AJA
32%
24%
44%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ADO
1 - 5
AJA
10%
17%
73%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
AJA
5 - 0
NAC
85%
11%
4%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
AJA
1 - 2
RMA
23%
22%
56%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
HER
1 - 0
AJA
12%
18%
70%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | -1 |