Real Madrid C vs Galapagar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
10.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
11º
1º
36
6º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
93% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 2
RMA
14%
18%
69%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
RMA
4 - 0
LRZ
50%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
POZ
2 - 3
RMA
28%
22%
50%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
RMA
4 - 0
ALC
59%
21%
21%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
GET
2 - 3
RMA
51%
22%
28%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Galapagar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
GAL
2 - 0
LRZ
26%
25%
49%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 1
GAL
54%
24%
21%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GAL
1 - 2
URS
18%
23%
59%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ALC
4 - 1
GAL
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
GAL
0 - 2
TRJ
43%
24%
33%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -2 |