Tercera División RFEF VII - Region of Madrid Round 23

Real Madrid C vs Galapagar analysis

Real Madrid C Galapagar
37 ELO 25
-1.5% Tilt -1.5%
4794º General ELO ranking 7840º
158º Country ELO ranking 367º
ELO win probability
73.6%
Real Madrid C
15.3%
Draw
11%
Galapagar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
Real Madrid C
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
11%
Win probability
Galapagar
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Madrid C
+22%
-18%
Galapagar

Points and table prediction

Real Madrid C
Their league position
Galapagar
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
11º
36
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Real Madrid C
67
70
93%
CD Ursaria
65
68
93%
Getafe B
51
54
100%
RSD Alcalá
47
47
46%
Las Rozas
45
46
18.5%
México FC
45
45
58%
CD Móstoles
45
45
70%
Trival Valderas
37
37
69.5%
Galapagar
36
36
39.5%
AD Torrejón CF
10º
35
35
10º
19%
CF Pozuelo
11º
34
35
11º
28%
Rayo Vallecano B
12º
33
34
12º
42%
CD Canillas
13º
32
32
13º
15.5%
Atlético C
14º
31
32
14º
32.5%
CDE Fuenlabrada Promesas
15º
29
32
15º
32%
Real Aranjuez CF
16º
16
16
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Real Madrid C
Galapagar
Promotion
93% 0%
Promotion play-offs
7% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Real Madrid C
Galapagar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Madrid C
Real Madrid C
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2023
CAN
CD Canillas
0 - 2
Real Madrid C
RMA
14%
18%
68%
36 23 13 0
19 Feb. 2023
RMA
Real Madrid C
4 - 0
Las Rozas
LRZ
50%
22%
27%
35 35 0 +1
12 Feb. 2023
POZ
CF Pozuelo
2 - 3
Real Madrid C
RMA
29%
22%
49%
34 28 6 +1
05 Feb. 2023
RMA
Real Madrid C
4 - 0
RSD Alcalá
ALC
59%
21%
21%
32 30 2 +2
29 Jan. 2023
GET
Getafe B
2 - 3
Real Madrid C
RMA
51%
22%
28%
31 34 3 +1

Matches

Galapagar
Galapagar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2023
GAL
Galapagar
2 - 0
Las Rozas
LRZ
26%
25%
49%
24 34 10 0
19 Feb. 2023
ALC
RSD Alcalá
1 - 1
Galapagar
GAL
54%
24%
21%
23 30 7 +1
12 Feb. 2023
GAL
Galapagar
1 - 2
CD Ursaria
URS
18%
23%
59%
24 39 15 -1
05 Feb. 2023
MEX
México FC
4 - 1
Galapagar
GAL
59%
21%
20%
25 28 3 -1
29 Jan. 2023
GAL
Galapagar
0 - 2
AD Torrejón CF
TRJ
43%
24%
33%
25 26 1 0