Real Madrid C vs Rayo Vallecano B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.8%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
5.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
LEG
0 - 3
RMC
26%
25%
49%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
RMC
1 - 0
LRZ
79%
14%
8%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
PNT
2 - 1
RMC
15%
23%
62%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
RMC
7 - 1
COL
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
ALC
0 - 2
RMC
17%
23%
60%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
RVB
1 - 2
PEG
44%
27%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
COS
1 - 0
RVB
68%
20%
12%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
RVB
0 - 4
PBO
47%
27%
27%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
RVB
0 - 1
STA
21%
27%
52%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
LEG
3 - 0
RVB
52%
25%
22%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |