Real Jaén vs Sp. Villanueva Promesas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AGD
1 - 1
RJA
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RJA
2 - 1
CFB
53%
27%
20%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
RJA
2 - 0
POL
68%
21%
11%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 1
RJA
41%
29%
30%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
RJA
1 - 0
SRQ
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sp. Villanueva Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 1
POL
46%
26%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 0
SPO
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 1
SRQ
16%
25%
59%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 0
SPO
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 1
VIL
26%
26%
47%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |