Real Jaén vs Puertollano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
RJA
1 - 1
MUR
51%
27%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
ELC
2 - 0
RJA
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
RJA
1 - 0
DEP
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
PUE
2 - 1
RJA
53%
27%
21%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
RJA
0 - 0
OSA
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Puertollano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
UES
0 - 0
PUE
48%
29%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
PUE
5 - 0
AGD
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
IBI
1 - 0
PUE
40%
31%
29%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
PUE
2 - 1
RJA
53%
27%
21%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
ALA
4 - 0
PUE
66%
22%
12%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |