Real Jaén vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
31.3%
Draw
0-0
14.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.2%
41.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
CAD
1 - 1
RJA
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
RJA
0 - 1
CCF
37%
30%
34%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
GAL
3 - 1
RJA
38%
29%
34%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1997 |
RJA
2 - 0
SEV
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
UDS
4 - 0
RJA
29%
30%
41%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
MAL
2 - 0
CDM
70%
20%
10%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
MAL
1 - 2
CAD
66%
22%
12%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
CCF
1 - 0
MAL
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1997 |
MAL
4 - 0
GAL
70%
21%
10%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
SEV
0 - 0
MAL
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |