Real Jaén vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
16.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
PUE
1 - 0
RJA
32%
29%
39%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
AGD
44%
29%
26%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
CDO
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CDL
0 - 0
RJA
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
RJA
0 - 0
MEL
48%
29%
24%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
LUC
2 - 2
POL
13%
24%
63%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 0
LUC
62%
23%
16%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 2
CAD
11%
21%
67%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
BET
1 - 0
LUC
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 1
ANT
50%
26%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |