Real Jaén vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
43.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.3%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1998 |
OSA
2 - 0
RJA
59%
25%
16%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
RJA
0 - 0
LEV
42%
28%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
ALA
1 - 0
RJA
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
RJA
1 - 2
LEG
34%
29%
37%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1998 |
ATB
1 - 1
RJA
71%
19%
11%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1998 |
HER
2 - 1
CDO
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
LLE
2 - 1
HER
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1998 |
HER
4 - 0
UDL
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
EIB
0 - 1
HER
43%
30%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1998 |
HER
3 - 1
ALB
49%
24%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |