Real Jaén vs Poli Ejido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
11%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 1
RJA
41%
29%
30%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
RJA
1 - 0
SRQ
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 1
RJA
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
RJA
0 - 0
VIL
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
CAD
0 - 0
RJA
69%
20%
11%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
POL
0 - 2
CFB
30%
27%
43%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
POL
0 - 2
PUE
23%
25%
52%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
SRQ
2 - 0
POL
69%
20%
11%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
POL
0 - 14
LOR
44%
26%
30%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -4 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 0
POL
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |