Real Jaén vs Gimnástica Abad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.5%
Win probability
3.98
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.7%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.7%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.9%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.2%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.8%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.2%
4.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1948 |
CIE
3 - 1
RJA
52%
21%
27%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1948 |
RJA
5 - 0
CRE
85%
9%
6%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
ELD
2 - 1
RJA
66%
17%
17%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
ALM
1 - 0
RJA
43%
22%
36%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -2 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
RJA
3 - 1
CAA
71%
15%
14%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gimnástica Abad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1948 |
GAB
1 - 1
CAA
39%
22%
39%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1948 |
CAR
5 - 0
GAB
87%
8%
5%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
GAB
0 - 0
IMP
34%
22%
45%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
ORI
2 - 1
GAB
78%
12%
10%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
GAB
0 - 1
ELC
36%
21%
43%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |