Real Jaén vs At. Malagueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
UDF
1 - 1
RJA
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
RJA
2 - 0
GRA
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
ALM
1 - 0
RJA
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
RJA
2 - 1
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
ATL
0 - 0
RJA
47%
25%
28%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
CÉL
3 - 1
MAL
45%
27%
29%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
MAL
2 - 1
ANT
80%
13%
6%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
AMA
0 - 0
MAL
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
MAL
6 - 0
IMP
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
JUV
0 - 2
MAL
55%
24%
21%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |