Real Jaén vs Algeciras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
9.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
MAL
1 - 5
RJA
55%
20%
25%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
RJA
8 - 0
EST
75%
14%
11%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1951 |
SDC
1 - 0
RJA
72%
15%
13%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
RJA
4 - 1
BET
61%
19%
20%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
UDE
2 - 1
RJA
52%
21%
26%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
ALG
3 - 1
CAD
51%
21%
28%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
ALG
2 - 5
CAA
48%
21%
31%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1951 |
MAL
2 - 1
ALG
74%
14%
12%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
ALG
1 - 0
EST
60%
19%
22%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
SDC
2 - 0
ALG
83%
11%
7%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |