Real Jaén vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
22%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
BAR
1 - 1
RJA
56%
26%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
RJA
1 - 1
ZAR
33%
29%
38%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
CCF
0 - 0
RJA
60%
25%
15%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
RJA
1 - 1
TER
54%
26%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
UBE
2 - 3
RJA
22%
28%
50%
|
61 | 28 | 33 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
ALA
0 - 0
OSA
64%
23%
13%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
CAS
0 - 0
ALA
54%
26%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
ALA
1 - 1
GDE
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
SAB
2 - 2
ALA
45%
27%
27%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
AND
1 - 2
ALA
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |