Real Jaén vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
23.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
LUC
2 - 1
RJA
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
RJA
1 - 0
ECI
53%
27%
21%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SRQ
0 - 3
RJA
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
RJA
2 - 1
SEV
52%
28%
21%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
EST
1 - 2
RJA
34%
28%
39%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
AGD
1 - 1
CFB
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
MOR
2 - 0
AGD
22%
27%
51%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
AGD
4 - 0
IMP
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ROQ
0 - 1
AGD
38%
27%
34%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
AGD
0 - 3
POL
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |