Real Jaén vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
RJA
1 - 1
GUA
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
JER
1 - 3
RJA
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
RJA
1 - 1
TAL
46%
28%
27%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
SEV
0 - 3
RJA
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
AGD
1 - 2
RJA
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
AGD
3 - 3
JER
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
TAL
0 - 1
AGD
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
AGD
0 - 0
SEV
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
BAL
0 - 3
AGD
22%
26%
52%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
AGD
1 - 2
RJA
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |