Tercera Division G4 Round 18

Real Jaén vs AgD Ceuta analysis

Real Jaén AgD Ceuta
48 ELO 47
-3.6% Tilt -13.2%
4949º General ELO ranking 17476º
172º Country ELO ranking 5617º
ELO win probability
59.5%
Real Jaén
25.3%
Draw
15.1%
AgD Ceuta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
Real Jaén
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
15.1%
Win probability
AgD Ceuta
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Real Jaén
AgD Ceuta
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jan. 1976
ELD
Eldense
1 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
46%
31%
23%
49 42 7 0
08 Jan. 1976
CDB
CD Badajoz
0 - 2
Real Jaén
RJA
59%
26%
15%
48 45 3 +1
04 Jan. 1976
RJA
Real Jaén
0 - 0
RB Linense
BAL
72%
20%
8%
48 43 5 0
28 Dec. 1975
ALM
AD Almería
2 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
60%
25%
15%
50 46 4 -2
21 Dec. 1975
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 0
Albacete
ALB
81%
15%
4%
49 34 15 +1

Matches

AgD Ceuta
AgD Ceuta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jan. 1976
AGD
AgD Ceuta
3 - 1
Jerez Industrial
JER
72%
19%
8%
47 42 5 0
08 Jan. 1976
POR
RC Portuense
0 - 1
AgD Ceuta
AGD
48%
29%
23%
46 43 3 +1
04 Jan. 1976
AGD
AgD Ceuta
2 - 0
Xerez CD
XER
57%
26%
17%
45 48 3 +1
28 Dec. 1975
ELD
Eldense
1 - 0
AgD Ceuta
AGD
53%
27%
20%
45 44 1 0
21 Dec. 1975
AGD
AgD Ceuta
1 - 0
RB Linense
BAL
72%
20%
9%
45 41 4 0