Real Jaén vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1974 |
CDB
1 - 0
RJA
50%
29%
21%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
RJA
3 - 5
ORI
66%
22%
12%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
CPC
3 - 1
RJA
47%
30%
23%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
BAL
2 - 0
RJA
48%
30%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
RJA
3 - 0
ALM
43%
27%
30%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1974 |
XER
4 - 2
AGD
45%
31%
24%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
AGD
3 - 1
CDB
69%
20%
11%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
ORI
1 - 0
AGD
58%
26%
17%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 1974 |
AGD
2 - 1
CPC
70%
20%
11%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
REC
0 - 0
AGD
64%
24%
12%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |