Real Jaén vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1970 |
ATH
2 - 2
RJA
84%
11%
5%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
IMP
0 - 0
RJA
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1970 |
BAL
2 - 1
RJA
51%
27%
23%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
RJA
2 - 1
CDB
54%
25%
21%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
ADL
2 - 1
RJA
18%
28%
54%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1970 |
AGD
2 - 2
VAL
24%
24%
52%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
AGD
4 - 1
BAL
58%
24%
18%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 1970 |
CDB
2 - 0
AGD
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
AGD
2 - 0
ADL
85%
11%
4%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1970 |
LEV
3 - 2
AGD
69%
17%
13%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |