Real Jaén B vs Urgavona CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+387%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
ATL
1 - 2
RJA
35%
26%
40%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
CDR
1 - 1
RJA
38%
25%
37%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
RJA
2 - 1
VIL
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
RJA
0 - 1
VIL
61%
21%
18%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
MEN
1 - 1
RJA
39%
25%
36%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Urgavona CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
URG
3 - 1
VIL
68%
19%
13%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
VIL
1 - 3
URG
37%
25%
39%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
URG
2 - 0
MEN
62%
21%
18%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
URG
1 - 1
LIN
36%
26%
39%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
ATL
1 - 2
URG
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |