Real Jaén B vs CD Nerja Fundación analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+142%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
CDU
3 - 0
RJA
45%
24%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
RJA
2 - 0
ALC
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 2
RJA
48%
27%
26%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
RJA
0 - 1
RON
30%
25%
45%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
JOD
0 - 0
RJA
37%
25%
39%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Nerja Fundación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
NER
1 - 2
PUE
82%
12%
6%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
CDT
1 - 2
NER
26%
24%
50%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
NER
3 - 2
MAN
59%
24%
18%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
MIJ
0 - 1
NER
44%
26%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
NER
1 - 0
NSR
59%
22%
20%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |