Clausura Nicaragua Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Real Estelí vs Sport Sébaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2025 |
CDS
1 - 3
EST
31%
25%
44%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
UNA
1 - 2
EST
29%
25%
46%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
MAN
1 - 2
EST
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
EST
2 - 1
DIR
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
EST
3 - 2
DEP
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Sébaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2025 |
CDS
1 - 3
EST
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
WAL
2 - 3
CDS
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
RSA
1 - 1
CDS
25%
25%
50%
|
60 | 29 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
CDS
2 - 1
DEP
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2025 |
CDS
0 - 0
JAP
53%
24%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |