Real Cartagena vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 1
PER
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
JUN
2 - 0
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CHI
4 - 0
CAR
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
4 - 3
HUI
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 1
CAL
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2009 |
IND
0 - 0
JUN
50%
25%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
PER
1 - 2
IND
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
IND
2 - 2
ONC
54%
24%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 0
IND
52%
25%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
IND
2 - 1
CUC
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |