Real Cartagena vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 0
CAR
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 3
QUI
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
RSC
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
AFC
2 - 0
CAR
24%
26%
49%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 0
TFC
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 2
UNI
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
COR
2 - 1
FOR
61%
24%
16%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
PER
3 - 0
FOR
58%
24%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 0
BOG
55%
24%
20%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CUC
1 - 1
FOR
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |