Real Cartagena vs Deportes Quindío analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
IND
5 - 0
CAR
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 3
JUN
29%
28%
43%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 1
CUC
47%
26%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
TOL
3 - 0
CAR
68%
21%
12%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 2
MIL
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Quindío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
QUI
0 - 1
ONC
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ONC
1 - 3
QUI
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 1
QUI
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
QUI
1 - 1
EQU
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
HUI
0 - 1
QUI
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |