Real Cartagena vs Bogotá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
HUI
2 - 3
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
REA
0 - 3
CAR
42%
27%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 1
HUI
26%
25%
50%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
TFC
0 - 0
CAR
47%
27%
26%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
BJC
51%
25%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
BOG
0 - 2
TFC
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
BOG
2 - 1
BJC
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
TFC
0 - 1
BOG
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ORS
4 - 2
BOG
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
BOG
1 - 1
QUI
29%
28%
44%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |