Real Cartagena vs Barranquilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
TFC
1 - 2
CAR
27%
28%
45%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 1
LLA
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 0
CAR
47%
28%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 0
BJC
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 0
CAR
61%
22%
16%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Barranquilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 0
BJC
48%
27%
25%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 0
BAR
67%
21%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 2
COR
20%
26%
55%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
REA
1 - 1
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 0
FOR
28%
27%
45%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |