Real Avilés Industrial vs Sporting Celanova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.1%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
5.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
NAV
2 - 1
AVI
52%
28%
20%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
AVI
2 - 0
ARO
64%
23%
13%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
DEP
0 - 1
AVI
52%
28%
20%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
VDB
1 - 1
AVI
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
AVI
2 - 1
SIE
64%
23%
14%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Celanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
SPO
1 - 3
CEL
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
SPO
0 - 0
PON
41%
23%
37%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
SPO
0 - 1
CAM
56%
22%
22%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
NAV
4 - 0
SPO
70%
18%
13%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
SAN
3 - 0
SPO
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |