Cusco FC vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cusco FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
AYA
2 - 2
GAR
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
GAR
2 - 0
UTC
69%
20%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
GAR
2 - 1
ALI
68%
21%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
GAR
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
GAR
0 - 4
SPC
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
CIE
0 - 1
HUA
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 0
CIE
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 1
CIE
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
CIE
1 - 2
AUR
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
VAL
3 - 2
CIE
64%
22%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |