Real Aranjuez CF vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.4%
Win probability
3.63
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.6%
4.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
RAY
4 - 2
ARA
43%
23%
33%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
ARA
2 - 1
PUL
45%
23%
33%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +3 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
GUA
1 - 4
ARA
66%
17%
17%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
ARA
1 - 0
GUA
67%
16%
16%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
CDS
3 - 2
ARA
58%
20%
23%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
UBC
5 - 1
CUA
50%
22%
28%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
RAY
6 - 1
UBC
83%
10%
7%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
UBC
0 - 2
UDG
43%
22%
35%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -2 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
VAL
1 - 0
UBC
77%
13%
10%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
UBC
3 - 3
CDS
45%
22%
34%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |