Real Aranjuez CF vs RCD Carabanchel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
37.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ARG
0 - 0
ARA
28%
22%
50%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 0
ALU
54%
23%
23%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ARA
3 - 2
PNT
61%
21%
18%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CDF
1 - 4
ARA
32%
23%
46%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 1
CAM
38%
24%
39%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
CDF
74%
17%
10%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 2
CAR
37%
24%
39%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
YEB
59%
23%
19%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MOB
0 - 4
CAR
43%
23%
34%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
RMC
52%
22%
27%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |