Real Aranjuez CF vs RCD Carabanchel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
GUA
1 - 3
ARA
56%
20%
24%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1955 |
ARA
4 - 0
UDG
79%
12%
9%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1955 |
CDT
4 - 0
ARA
63%
18%
19%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 1955 |
ARA
5 - 1
UBC
79%
12%
9%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1955 |
PAR
2 - 0
ARA
47%
22%
31%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
CAR
1 - 1
LEG
53%
21%
27%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1955 |
CAR
4 - 1
GUA
59%
19%
22%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 1955 |
UDG
1 - 0
CAR
64%
18%
18%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1955 |
CAR
3 - 2
CDT
57%
19%
24%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1955 |
UBC
1 - 1
CAR
68%
17%
15%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |