Pref. Madrid Round 12

Real Aranjuez CF vs CD Fortuna analysis

Real Aranjuez CF CD Fortuna
17 ELO 14
-3.1% Tilt -4.5%
9787º General ELO ranking 11457º
744º Country ELO ranking 1770º
ELO win probability
60.3%
Real Aranjuez CF
21.2%
Draw
18.5%
CD Fortuna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
Real Aranjuez CF
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.5%
Win probability
CD Fortuna
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Aranjuez CF
+56%
-31%
CD Fortuna

ELO progression

Real Aranjuez CF
CD Fortuna
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Aranjuez CF
Real Aranjuez CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Nov. 2015
CMP
CD Ciempozuelos
2 - 1
Real Aranjuez CF
ARA
59%
20%
21%
17 18 1 0
15 Nov. 2015
ARA
Real Aranjuez CF
1 - 0
Vicálvaro
CDV
43%
25%
31%
16 18 2 +1
08 Nov. 2015
CDM
CD Montijo-San Antolín
0 - 2
Real Aranjuez CF
ARA
50%
23%
27%
15 16 1 +1
01 Nov. 2015
ARA
Real Aranjuez CF
1 - 1
CP Parla Escuela
PAR
42%
24%
34%
15 18 3 0
25 Oct. 2015
CVB
AD Colmenar Viejo B
1 - 0
Real Aranjuez CF
ARA
58%
21%
22%
15 17 2 0

Matches

CD Fortuna
CD Fortuna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Nov. 2015
CDF
CD Fortuna
2 - 0
Ciempozuelos
CIE
51%
23%
26%
14 13 1 0
15 Nov. 2015
CMP
CD Ciempozuelos
1 - 0
CD Fortuna
CDF
69%
17%
15%
14 18 4 0
08 Nov. 2015
CDF
CD Fortuna
1 - 2
Leganés B
LEG
28%
25%
48%
14 19 5 0
01 Nov. 2015
CDV
Vicálvaro
1 - 2
CD Fortuna
CDF
62%
22%
16%
14 18 4 0
25 Oct. 2015
CDF
CD Fortuna
0 - 1
CD Ursaria
URS
22%
21%
57%
14 21 7 0